Britain’s General Election
Scottish and Northern Ireland Unionists took my advice and, quite unexpectedly in Scotland’s case, saved the UK from a Corbyn government.
The closeness of the election was apparently due to the decline of UKIP: Their pro-Brexit working class voters reverted back to Labour while their white collar voters returned to the Tories.
I am not familiar enough with the negotiating minutiae to guess how the results will impact Brexit talks beyond causing their delay while the Tories decide on how to conduct a leadership challenge.
I do know that the Corbyn-Mandelson dynamic still has a ways to play out within Labour particularly with Brexit negotiations looming (with or without PM May) and the Corbyn wing being quietly anti-EU and the Mandelson wing being in the tank for Juncker, et al.
Originally, the Fabian’s were expecting May to crush Corbyn for them. But by overperforming it has become impossible for the Blairites to remove Corbyn on their own.
Corbyn rubs the Blairite wing the wrong way because Corbyn, as an actual Marxist, doesn’t want to crush the remnants of the British proletariat. Blairite Fabians, which is to say “Anti-Proleterian Communists” are very interested in finishing the bastards off once and for all, regardless whether or not the end game sees the ISIS flag raised over Westminster for good.
How well Corbyn can keep a hold on his party with the still powerful Mandelson partisans looming in the background will go a long way to explaining how the next election goes.
The Tories would be well advised to encourage tensions between Labour’s proletarian and anti-proletarian factions as much as possible.
Comey – Again
It’s time to start considering a pardon of Flynn and other former, or current advisers, such as Manafort for any procedural crimes (perjury, tax evasion, registration issues, etc) if the Russian investigation is now focused on a reckless fishing expedition for procedural crimes, not an underlying “collusion” crime with Russia.
I’m tempted to say Trump should also consider eliminating the special counsel since Comey admitted he manipulated the administration into appointing one in order to convert the original intelligence probe (which is not a criminal investigation) into a criminal investigation.
However, why would Comey admit empowering a special counsel was his intent?
By saying this Comey, now exposed as the devious operator I always said he was, must know that his admitting it to the Senate will only risk provoking Trump into firing the special counsel.
Does Comey actually want Trump to fire Mueller?
If so, why?
In terms of spinning this pointless distraction to his advantage, Trump should continue to undermine Comey’s aura as a subject matter expert by raising more confusion in the minds of voters about what is actually being investigated.
Something, more or less, along these lines:
- “Comey testified I am innocent of collusion. If there was no collusion, why isn’t the case closed?” “Bizarre/Strange/Weird”!
- “If there was no collusion, what was Comey DOING this whole time?”
- “The investigation is pointless if Comey says there was no collusion. This is a media distraction.”
The odds of the Senate approving a repeal bill are good so long as Trump holds the possibility of ending exchange subsidies over the heads of Senators. The exchanges are imploding. As they fall apart the Senate will calculate, correctly, that they will eventually have to vote on something to fix the exchanges. If actual legislation is inevitable they might as well come to an agreement soon on a partial repeal now that the House has sent them their bill and they have a Republican President eager to sign something.
Based on reporting it seems the last remaining obstacle to a deal is how to phase out the Medicaid expansion. I recommend breaking the deadlock over this issue by giving a longer phaseout to any state if a Republican Senator wants their own state exempted. The remaining states would have Medicaid phased out more quickly. This may be the best compromise for Conservative Senators who want a more aggressive timeline and Moderate Republicans who worry about their own constituents losing coverage.