If, as argued this week, negotiating with Russia is always an intricate balancing act for even the most skillful diplomat, then judging which side to back in the Syrian Civil War is a choice that requires no such complex handling between competing interests – America should, without hesitation, use all our power to tilt the scales in favor of Assad.
What is alarming is how many supposed “conservatives” cling to #NeverAssad positions no matter how obviously an Assad victory is the only remotely sane outcome.
As #NeverTrump did during the election, their opposition to Assad is justified while either avoiding what the alternative to their #NeverCandidate is guaranteed to be, or deluding themselves in the hope there is a viable third candidate to save everyone from two undesirable options.
Few things in foreign affairs are as certain as the fact there is no Democratic 3rd option in Syria.
The time for #NeverAssad to have their say was in the primaries between Assad, ISIS and other equally loathsome terrorist groups, and those ever elusive Islamic “moderates”.
Primary season is over; the general election is now, and those Westernized moderates – as always happens in Muslim “democracies” – were beheaded on the floor of the party conventions by amphetamine-addled delegates, their wives and children sold into chattel sex slavery, and their Western bank accounts stripped clean of every digital penny. You can believe us when we say no one throws a nomination convention quite like ISIS!
This obscenely Darwinian process has selected for a simple binary choice between two tyrants –
- Bashar Assad
- The various Islamic terrorist rebels opposed to Assad, the most powerful of which is ISIS
Setting aside any delusions that the world can enjoy #NeverAssad without #AlwaysBaghdadi, and understanding that only one of these two characters can win, Pragmatically Distributed gets to the point and asks what condition will Syria be left in following an Assad or rebel victory:
Assad is Victorious – Under this scenario the Syrian remnants of ISIS will either be massacred or sent into full retreat. Assad will begin consolidating power over his war ravaged nation.
For America and Israel, Syria’s condition will be the best of all worlds: His nation will be in such ruins that he will not be in a position to threaten his neighbors, particularly not Israel, for many years to come. At the same time Assad will be feared enough within Syria that no serious terrorist threat will be able to gain a foothold there.
What if Assad takes out revenge against civilians who backed the rebels? Leave them to their fate we say, even if that means Assad kills millions of Muslim men, women, and children. We would raise moral objections only if Syrian Christians became targets of Assad’s revenge, but since they are on Assad’s side and Assad can hardly afford to antagonize whatever allies he has (unless he plans on his final video appearance being in an ISIS video wearing an orange jumpsuit) we expect whatever is left of Syrian Christianity to be left unmolested by Assad.
The Rebels are Victorious – As happened in Libya with the overthrow of Gadhafi, Syria disintegrates further into Muslim warlordism with ISIS enjoying the role of predominant warlords. The black market will thrive, the remaining Syrian Christians will be exterminated, more Muslim refugees will pour into the West, and ISIS will have a secure base to coordinate more terrorism against the West.
Over the long-term there is the possibility that one faction of Muslim terrorists eventually consolidates power over all of Syria – but this is hardly an argument for backing Assad’s overthrow because whichever faction ultimately fights its way to the top is guaranteed to be run by five-star homicidal maniacs.
From every rational perspective an Assad victory easily best serves American interests.
How should America intervene in Syria?
Since the rebels are not exactly as formidable as a 1943 Wehrmacht Army Group under the command of von Manstein, a simple American air campaign backed by pro-Assad ground forces and whatever land contingents Russia has in theater should be enough to annihilate this latest, horrid, experiment in Islamic “Democracy”.